DRAFT

Chapter 3 — Transportation Needs in the Boston Region

3.1      Background

A critical early step in developing the LRTP was to gather, organize, and analyze available sources of data about the existing transportation system. This process resulted in the MPO’s Needs Assessment, an interactive online database of transportation, population, and employment conditions. MPO staff used the Needs Assessment application to analyze various components of the transportation system, their capacity, serviceability, and current and projected use. The Needs Assessment also includes a report that summarizes the region’s future transportation requirements based on staff’s analysis.  

Not only did the Needs Assessment analysis guide the MPO when deciding how to address the region’s needs through the LRTP, it also will guide future decision making about which projects to fund in the TIP, and which studies to conduct through the UPWP. The Needs Assessment also establishes a baseline for the MPO’s performance-measurement process, which will track progress over time to determine whether planned changes to the transportation system are moving the MPO toward its goals and objectives.

This chapter presents a summary of the region’s needs (described in full in a separate Needs Assessment document). Both the Needs Assessment document and the interactive Needs Assessment application may be accessed through the MPO’s website at http://www.ctps.org/Drupal/charting_2040_needs.

Information in this chapter—and the online Needs Assessment document—has been organized according to the LRTP’s goals (Chapter 1), which staff used to evaluate projects for scenario planning and project selection for the recommended LRTP (Chapter 5), and are related to the topics of:

• Safety
• System Preservation
• Capacity Management and Mobility
• Clean Air and Clean Communities
• Transportation Equity
• Economic Vitality

The online Needs Assessment document includes the following chapters, which contain details about the needs, as well as the conditions that create the needs:

• Chapter 1 – Introduction: describes the study area and data resources used to inventory and assess the region’s transportation needs
• Chapter 2 – Land Use in the Boston Region MPO: provides an overview of the region’s current land use, and that which is projected to occur between now and 2040
• Chapter 3 – Travel Patterns in the Boston Region MPO: describes the region’s current travel patterns (under base-case 2012 conditions), and those which are projected to occur between now and 2040 if there are no improvements to the transportation system (no-build conditions)
• Chapter 4 – Regionwide Needs Assessment: reports on the regional high-priority needs for the next 25 years

3.2      Definition of the Study Area

For transportation planning purposes, the MPO maintains a travel demand model, which includes the 101 municipalities in the MPO region plus an additional 63 municipalities adjacent to the MPO area. While the Needs Assessment addresses only the needs of the municipalities in the MPO, it does take into consideration conditions and travel activity in other parts of the larger region that affect the MPO.

FIGURE 3.1

Model Areas

3.3      Information included in the Needs Assessment

The Needs Assessment incorporates information from previous and ongoing transportation planning work—including the Paths to a Sustainable Region LRTP, the MBTA’s Program for Mass Transportation, the MPO’s Congestion Management Process (CMP), transportation equity outreach, MPO studies, and special studies—for data inputs.

Staff also used the MPO’s travel demand model and draft demographic projections in the Needs Assessment, as existing and projected socioeconomic information (population, housing, and employment data) and the existing and proposed transportation network were important factors in determining transportation needs. In the modeling process, the adopted LRTP used a base year of 2012 and a future year of 2040 for the transportation network and socioeconomic data.

3.4      Prioritized Regional Needs

The following sections offer an overview of transportation system’s needs for the next twenty-five years. Detailed information about each goal may be found in Chapter 4 of the Needs Assessment, which also includes:

• The goals and related objectives for each goal
• Background information for each goal
• The policy context that surrounds each goal, including:
• Related initiatives and directives
• Relevant studies, reports, and documents.
• Contributing resources
• Public input on transportation needs
• Potential programs that would help address each goal

3.4.1   Safety

Safety Problem Statement

Overall, safety in the region’s transportation system has been improving. However, at the same time certain types of crashes and resultant injuries have increased. Reducing the number of transportation-related accidents, injuries, and fatalities—as well as related property damage, pain, and suffering—is the MPO’s highest priority.

Safety Needs

Despite the overall reduction in the number of crashes, fatalities, and injuries between 2006 and 2012, the number of crashes and injuries involving pedestrians and bicyclists rose: Pedestrian crashes increased by 18 percent, and injuries grew by 31 percent; bicycle crashes increased by 36 percent, and injuries jumped by 46 percent. Roughly two-thirds of pedestrian and bicycle crashes resulted in an injury.

Staff identified safety needs by analyzing data for high crash locations, intersections, and lane departures, as well as accidents involving pedestrians, bicyclists, and trucks. Tables 3.1–3.3 display summary information about the region’s safety needs.

TABLE 3.1

Safety Needs in the Boston Region MPO

Source: Central Transportation Planning Staff.

TABLE 3.2

Top-25 Highway Crash Locations in the Boston Region MPO

EPDO = Equivalent Property Damage Only. HSIP = Highway Safety Improvement Program.

Source: MassDOT Registry of Motor Vehicles.

TABLE 3.3

Locations with Multiple Safety Needs

HSIP = Highway Safety Improvement Program.

Source: MassDOT Registry of Motor Vehicles.

3.4.2   System Preservation

System Preservation Problem Statement

The region’s transportation infrastructure is aging and heavily used, and there is a significant backlog of maintenance and state-of-good repair (SGR) work to be done on both the highway and transit systems. In addition, parts of the transportation system may be compromised if climate-change trends continue as projected. The system needs to be brought into an SGR, maintained at that level, and enhanced to ensure personal mobility, efficient movement of goods, and protection from potential sea-level rising and storm-induced flooding.

System Preservation Needs

Demands on roadway and transit facilities have stressed them to the point that routine maintenance is insufficient to keep up with necessary repairs. The result is a significant backlog of maintenance and SGR projects on all parts of the transportation system, including bridges, roadway pavement, transit rolling stock, and traffic and transit control equipment.

The region’s financial constraints require the MPO to set priorities, considering the most crucial maintenance needs and the most effective ways to deploy funding. At the same time, the MPO must improve the resiliency of infrastructure that could be affected by climate change.

The MPO's uses its TIP evaluation criteriato determine whether a project improves substandard pavement, signal operations, intermodal accommodations and connections to transit; it implements intelligent operations system strategies to assess and prioritize the system’s preservation and maintenance needs for projects it considers for funding (see Table 3.4).

TABLE 3.4

System Preservation Needs in the Boston MPO Region

Source: Central Transportation Planning Staff.

3.4.3   Capacity Management and Mobility

Capacity Management and Mobility Problem Statement

Reducing congestion and managing the capacity of all transportation infrastructure and services is essential to increase mobility, decrease vehicle emissions, promote healthy travel options, and ease disruption and economic losses caused by travel delay.

Capacity Management and Mobility Needs

Although increasing capacity has long been a strategy to reduce congestion, its effects have not proved long lasting. The MPO now is adopting capacity and mobility strategies that enhance the system through operations and management (O&M) type projects, such as improving access and connectivity to transit services, closing gaps and reducing bottlenecks for all modes, completing the bicycle and pedestrian networks, and providing for first- and last-mile connections.

The MPO identified capacity and mobility needs by analyzing the reliability and capacity of roadway and transit infrastructure and services, and the connectivity of transit, pedestrian, and bicycle infrastructure (see Table 3.5).

TABLE 3.5

Capacity Management and Mobility Needs in the Boston Region MPO

Source: Central Transportation Planning Staff.

FIGURE 3.2

Bottleneck Locations

FIGURE 3.3

Park-and-Ride Locations with a Utilization Rate of More than 85%

FIGURE 3.4

Bicycle Parking Facilities with a Utilization Rate of More than 85%

FIGURE 3.5

Priority Bicycle Gaps and Baystate Greenway Locations

3.4.5   Clean Air and Clean Communities

Clean Air and Clean Communities Problem Statement

The MPO has made significant progress toward improving air quality in the region, which is now in attainment for ozone and particulate matter and remains in maintenance for carbon monoxide.1 Continued vigilance is needed to keep emissions of these pollutants at acceptable levels.

The largest environmental threat the MPO now faces is the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to climate change, which if unchecked, could impair our transportation system and way of life. In addition, transportation can negatively affect environmental resources and land use patterns if they induce sprawl or development in or near priority preservation areas (see section 3.4.7 and Figure 3.7).

Clean Air and Clean Communities Needs

To comply with federal and state requirements, as well as MPO policy, the MPO tracks air quality by continuously monitoring estimated or projected levels of pollutants, including volatile organic compounds (VOC), nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide (CO), particulate matter (PM), and carbon dioxide (CO2). In the LRTP and TIP project-selection processes, the MPO reviews and rates individual projects on how well they meet criteria established to protect the environment.

Addressing some of the needs identified under the Capacity Management and Mobility goal also will help the MPO achieve the Clean Air and Clean Communities goal, as programs that reduce vehicle-miles traveled (VMT) contribute to lower emissions of VOC, NOx, CO, CO2, and PM.

TABLE 3.6

Clean Air and Clean Communities Needs in the Boston Region MPO

Source: Central Transportation Planning Staff.

3.4.6   Transportation Equity

Transportation Equity Problem Statement

Historically, some minority and economically disadvantaged areas have endured the negative effects of the transportation system disproportionally—for example, via placement of infrastructure from which they do not benefit; poor access to, or maintenance of, necessary services; and by not being included in the transportation-planning process. In addition, youth, the elderly, and people with disabilities of various kinds face special challenges when using the transportation system. Although progress has been made to remedy these problems, much remains to be done to identify affected populations and ensure equal treatment and access to transportation services, mobility, and decision making.

Transportation Equity Needs

The MPO determines the transportation needs of people in environmental-justice (EJ) areas—those with higher concentrations of minority and/or low-income residents (see Figures 3.6 and 3.7 and Chapter 6)—in a number of ways. Staff post a needs survey on the MPO’s website; the MPO conducts forums and meetings to solicit input; staff attend various meetings where needs and transportation gaps are discussed; and staff keep current on reports and studies that identify these needs, which generally fall into several categories, including:

• Transit service improvements
• Transit and roadway infrastructure improvements
• Improved intermodal connections
• Coordination of various services

The MPO addresses regional transportation equity through TIP evaluation criteria, where projects that address a transportation issue in an EJ neighborhood can score points. MPO staff give positive ratings to projects that could benefit EJ areas, and negative ratings to projects that might burden these areas. This scoring system gives projects that address transportation equity issues an advantage, as the MPO considers these ratings when deciding which projects should be funded in the LRTP or TIP.

TABLE 3.7

Transportation Equity Needs in the Boston Region MPO

Source: Central Transportation Planning Staff.

FIGURE 3.6

Environmental-Justice Areas in the Boston Region MPO Regionwide

FIGURE 3.7

Environmental-Justice Areas in the Boston Region MPO Central Area

3.4.7   Economic Vitality

Economic Vitality Issues Statement

Land use, demographics, the economy, the environment, and the transportation system are closely interrelated, and changes to any one factor can affect the others negatively. The MPO can support economic development by focusing attention on the transportation infrastructure needs of MAPC-identified priority development and preservation areas in the region (Figure 3.8) as it prioritizes its limited regional funding.

Economic Vitality Needs

The Massachusetts Executive Office of Housing and Economic Development (EOHED), the Massachusetts Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs (EOEEA), and MAPC collaborated on a process to identify local, regional, and state-level priority development and preservation areas in municipalities within the MPO area. These areas can support additional housing, employment growth, creation and preservation of open space, and the type of continued economic vitality and future growth that the market demands, and which communities desire. The MPO has worked with MAPC and state agencies to understand the infrastructure needs of these areas and to identify transportation projects that could address them.

TABLE 3.8

Economic Vitality Needs in the Boston Region MPO

Source: Central Transportation Planning Staff.

FIGURE 3.8

Regionally Significant Priority Development and Preservation Areas

3.4      conclusion

Clearly, the Boston region has extensive transportation maintenance and modernization requirements, and must continue to address safety and mobility for all modes. In fact, all of the MPO’s goal areas contain certain inadequacies that the MPO should confront in its multimodal approach to meeting the region’s needs through 2040. However, MPO staff estimate that attending to these needs likely would exceed anticipated financial resources between now and 2040. Therefore, the MPO will face difficult decisions as it prioritizes when and how to allocate resources to guide transportation investment decisions throughout this LRTP’s time span.